http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/ rock out to the apparatus Sat, 30 Aug 2008 09:53:14 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3.1 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-22275 AGU One Sun, 11 Nov 2007 21:45:37 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-22275 [...] Boolean Delay Equations as a novel form of chaos (neat!), and an odd amount of credulousness w.r.t. Keilis-Borok. My seismolab companion stared derisively at that one as well, so I feel like my instincts have [...] […] Boolean Delay Equations as a novel form of chaos (neat!), and an odd amount of credulousness w.r.t. Keilis-Borok. My seismolab companion stared derisively at that one as well, so I feel like my instincts have […]

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1225 David Kim Tue, 04 May 2004 20:37:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1225 ummmm……sorry for the fucking cusing ummmm……sorry for the fucking cusing

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1224 David Kim Tue, 04 May 2004 20:36:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1224 is there any to stop this shit? is there any to stop this shit?

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1223 David Kim Tue, 04 May 2004 20:35:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1223 FUCK man i dont want to die bitch stop the FUCKING earthquake!!!!!!!!! FUCK man i dont want to die bitch stop the FUCKING earthquake!!!!!!!!!

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1222 yami Fri, 16 Apr 2004 18:11:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1222 I should think a “gays theory” would have quite a lot of pulling potential, applied correctly! Though of course not useful for everyone. I’ve heard about 10.5, but I generally don’t expect movie science to withstand even basic scrutiny, so I haven’t hurled myself at the TV yet. If they use a patently absurd premise to set up an interesting story it’ll be fine by me - of course it’ll be crap, just like all the other natural disaster movies, but that’s a whole nother issue. And yes, earthquake prediction is a persistent bugbear, and most claims don’t pass the smell test. Algorithms without even a handwaving acknowledgement of physics are particularly galling, though they may or may not be particularly unscientific. Lots of genuinely rigorous people have pet theories about how proper earthquake prediction might eventually be possible, though, and there’s no shame in that. I should think a “gays theory” would have quite a lot of pulling potential, applied correctly! Though of course not useful for everyone.
I’ve heard about 10.5, but I generally don’t expect movie science to withstand even basic scrutiny, so I haven’t hurled myself at the TV yet. If they use a patently absurd premise to set up an interesting story it’ll be fine by me - of course it’ll be crap, just like all the other natural disaster movies, but that’s a whole nother issue.
And yes, earthquake prediction is a persistent bugbear, and most claims don’t pass the smell test. Algorithms without even a handwaving acknowledgement of physics are particularly galling, though they may or may not be particularly unscientific. Lots of genuinely rigorous people have pet theories about how proper earthquake prediction might eventually be possible, though, and there’s no shame in that.

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1221 Rana Fri, 16 Apr 2004 16:49:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1221 If ya really want to work yourself up, go look for the trailers for the new “big calamitous earthquake strikes California!” movie. It’s a 10.5! Seattle falls into the sea! Whole cities fall into the chasm! Californians with even the slightest bit of geological knowledge hurl themselves angrily at the tv! If ya really want to work yourself up, go look for the trailers for the new “big calamitous earthquake strikes California!” movie. It’s a 10.5! Seattle falls into the sea! Whole cities fall into the chasm!
Californians with even the slightest bit of geological knowledge hurl themselves angrily at the tv!

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1220 Camilo Fri, 16 Apr 2004 15:32:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1220 Two possibilities: 1- Vassili is right about the earthquakes, and his predictions are completely true. His book sells on Amazon for US$100. or 2- Vassili’s cousins are investing heavily in real estate, suddenly to strike it rich. And please, chaos theory has no pulling potential whatsoever. People would ask me “gays theory?” Two possibilities: 1- Vassili is right about the earthquakes, and his predictions are completely true. His book sells on Amazon for US$100.
or 2- Vassili’s cousins are investing heavily in real estate, suddenly to strike it rich.
And please, chaos theory has no pulling potential whatsoever. People would ask me “gays theory?”

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1219 des Fri, 16 Apr 2004 13:57:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1219 Oh, very much so. But aren’t earthquake prediction “algorithms” legendary anyway? I was brought up to believe that they were pretty much like astrology, only without the rigour… Oh, very much so. But aren’t earthquake prediction “algorithms” legendary anyway? I was brought up to believe that they were pretty much like astrology, only without the rigour…

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1218 yami Fri, 16 Apr 2004 13:37:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1218 At least you’re employed by people who can remind themselves that the maths are only a model, and handwave about why it might or might not correspond to reality, isn’t it? At least you’re employed by people who can remind themselves that the maths are only a model, and handwave about why it might or might not correspond to reality, isn’t it?

]]> http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1217 des Fri, 16 Apr 2004 05:09:00 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2004/04/15/oh-boy-an-earthquake/#comment-1217 Non-linear dynamics is what I do for a living, of course, but you’re quite right about its pulling potential. And its predictive potential, for that matter. Non-linear dynamics is what I do for a living, of course, but you’re quite right about its pulling potential. And its predictive potential, for that matter.

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