Comments on: Another Earthquake Prediction Failure http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/ rock out to the apparatus Thu, 20 Nov 2008 17:25:07 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.3 By: yami http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/#comment-10604 yami Wed, 11 Apr 2007 23:13:53 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/#comment-10604 Despite its dangers Cascadia is not as well-instrumented as California... but it ain't bad. I'm just not sure how far back the record goes, nor did I read the paper closely enough to see what the detection threshold needs to be to do this kind of analysis. Despite its dangers Cascadia is not as well-instrumented as California… but it ain’t bad. I’m just not sure how far back the record goes, nor did I read the paper closely enough to see what the detection threshold needs to be to do this kind of analysis.

]]> By: gengar http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/#comment-10597 gengar Wed, 11 Apr 2007 16:47:19 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/#comment-10597 New Zealand is pretty closely monitored. I would have thought Cascadia was given the amount of seismometers plonked on the San Andreas. But given that nobody thought the Andaman thrust was going to rupture that dramatically, there's probably a a fair number of worrying gaps... New Zealand is pretty closely monitored. I would have thought Cascadia was given the amount of seismometers plonked on the San Andreas.

But given that nobody thought the Andaman thrust was going to rupture that dramatically, there’s probably a a fair number of worrying gaps…

]]> By: yami http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/#comment-10569 yami Wed, 11 Apr 2007 03:20:57 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/#comment-10569 On the timescale of a repeat rate for M5-6 events, Japan, for sure. On the timescale of a repeat rate for M5-6 events, Japan, for sure.

]]> By: Lab Lemming http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/#comment-10566 Lab Lemming Wed, 11 Apr 2007 01:41:14 +0000 http://greengabbro.net/2007/04/10/another-earthquake-prediction-failure/#comment-10566 How many subduction megathrusts are well-instrumented continuously? Or at least on the timescale of their repeat rate (e.g. centuries, which amounts to the same thing)? Japan? Cascadia? Or fuck-all? How many subduction megathrusts are well-instrumented continuously? Or at least on the timescale of their repeat rate (e.g. centuries, which amounts to the same thing)?

Japan? Cascadia? Or fuck-all?

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